Tensions within Kenya’s Orange Democratic Movement are escalating as the party grapples with internal divisions just over a year away from the 2027 general elections. What was once a united opposition is now split into rival factions, exposing differences over strategy, alliances, and leadership authority.
At the center of the dispute is Edwin Sifuna, the party’s Secretary-General, whose attempted removal by the National Executive Committee sparked public outrage and legal intervention. The move, citing alleged breaches of party discipline, was quickly halted when the Political Parties Disputes Tribunal ruled that proper procedures had not been followed, effectively reinstating Sifuna pending further hearings.
The rift has divided the party into two main camps. One faction, led by veteran politician Oburu Oginga, has signaled support for President William Ruto’s government, advocating a more collaborative approach with the ruling party. Supporters argue that strategic alliances are crucial for maintaining political influence and ensuring the party remains relevant within national politics.
Sifuna and his allies, however, have rejected this direction. They accuse Oburu’s faction of leveraging external political ties to dominate internal party decisions, insisting that the party should preserve its independence as a strong opposition force. Grassroots supporters attending rallies in Nairobi and Kitengela voiced their concern over attempts to sideline Sifuna, calling for leadership that reflects members’ voices rather than external interests.
Prominent ODM figure Ruth Odinga also condemned the attempted ouster, emphasizing that the party’s constitution and internal mediation mechanisms must be respected.
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“The party cannot thrive if internal differences are resolved through shortcuts or intimidation,” she said, urging all factions to engage in dialogue and restore unity.
The dispute has drawn attention from local communities, including elders from the Luo community, who have called for reconciliation. “ODM has historically been a voice for the people,” said one elder. “Infighting now threatens the trust members have in the party. Leaders must sit together and find a common path forward.”
Analysts warn that if unresolved, the factionalism could weaken ODM’s position in coalition negotiations and disrupt its strategy ahead of the 2027 polls. A divided party risks losing voter confidence, potentially reshaping political alliances and the electoral landscape in Kenya.
For many supporters, the ongoing struggle is more than a leadership battle — it represents the need to balance internal democracy, grassroots participation, and strategic political partnerships. How ODM resolves this challenge in the coming months could define its influence in Kenya’s next elections and set a precedent for managing party cohesion in a multipolar political environment.
